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Research on the Future
of Learning and Business
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Decision factors
A Process, not an Event
Not a Single Intervention
Beyond this, mastering a subject often requires a full loop of learning – observing, jading, conceptualizing, and experimenting – a mix of mental and physical activity. In the future, training will be designed as sequences, not courses. (flow of a session with events and readings etc.) Occam’s Razor
Pareto’s Law
Gradations have replaced yesterday’s dichotomies. Fortune’s 500 Industrials merged with the Fortune 500 Service Companies because firms began to fall into both categories. Your job is probably a combination of staff and line. Your production line may mass-produce customized goods. Thinking along dimensions fine-tunes the decisions
we used to make by choosing from extremes. For example, how long is
a single “class?” One hour, right? Well, not today. The duration of
a class is however long it takes to master the material.
Similarly, the issue is not whether a learning experience is interactive or now but how interactive it is.
Dimensions Interactivity is vital when learners need to change beliefs rather than just learn facts:
We can think of skills as being hard or soft. “Hard skills” are explicit; you can learn them from a book or a teaching machine. “Soft skills” are tougher to define; they’re abstract. Soft skills overlap with “tacit knowledge,” the stuff within an organization that you can learn on the office grapevine, often the ways things really work. Organizations usually find that “the soft part is the hard part.”
Eloquent, Athenium, NetPodium, CBT, Placeware, NetMeeting, Corpus Optima, etc. – a learner’s viewpoint Mechanisms Internet phone & RealAudio & Schedule & Telepresentations (meetings, presentations, & Picking the Right Tools for the Job Different learning media fit different types of learning. On the one hand, there is non-threatening information; on the other, ego-challenging mental makeovers. There are droplets of information, and there are lengthy topics. And there are abstract, “soft” skills and tacit knowledge; and there are concrete “hard” skills and explicit knowledge. And there’s one-time need vs. recurring need. And cost-value. And time-value.
Bits is bits. I think of a pointillist painting. Take the individual dots. They can be reconfigured into a new painting. This enables convergence. And as disciplines converge, constructs from one become available to another. The video porno industry gave us the cheap, plentiful VCRs that play our training videos. Tomorrow’s training will ride on the coattails of electronic commerce, the net, fiber optics, parallel processing, relational databases, and other “non-training” advances. If a tree falls in the forest, and no one hears it, it makes no sound. Similarly, if information arrives in the forest, and no one sees it, it does not become knowledge. |
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© 1999, Jay Cross & Internet Time Group